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Publikasjoner

NIBIOs ansatte publiserer flere hundre vitenskapelige artikler og forskningsrapporter hvert år. Her finner du referanser og lenker til publikasjoner og andre forsknings- og formidlingsaktiviteter. Samlingen oppdateres løpende med både nytt og historisk materiale. For mer informasjon om NIBIOs publikasjoner, besøk NIBIOs bibliotek.

2019

Sammendrag

The Balaton lake is the focal area of implementing the WFD in Hungary. At present, nutrient loads are primary threat to surface and subsurface water quality in the Balaton watershed. With increasing anthropogenic pressure and increased occurrence of extreme precipitation events in the future the nitrate loads might increase. The goal of this study was to evaluate the combined effect of climate, land use and soil management changes on nitrogen loads in Tetves Creek, which is the tributary of the Balaton lake. We applied the INCA-N (INtegrated CAtchment Model) water quality model to simulate the hydrological processes and nitrate transport for two periods: the current situation (baseline, 2006 to 2015) and for a future period (2046-2055). We calibrated the model against measured discharge and nitrate concentration data. The inorganic nitrogen sub-model was further validated using data of an independent period. The modelling chain was able to reproduce 59% of the variability of average nitrate concentrations in the Tetves Creek for the validation period. After validation, we examined several climate change, land use and nitrogen supply scenarios and their combined effects on runoff and nitrogen loads. Our main conclusions are summarised below.