Ignacio Sevillano

Forsker

(+47) 920 62 589
ignacio.sevillano@nibio.no

Sted
Ås - Bygg H8

Besøksadresse
Høgskoleveien 8, 1433 Ås

Biografi

  • Rolle: min rolle fokuserer på å forutse skogens utvikling og tilhørende økosystemtjenester (karbonlagring, tømmerproduksjon osv.) under ulike forvaltningsalternativer og politiske scenarier.
  • Ekspertiseområde: treslagenes ytelse som respons på miljøfaktorer og ulike forvaltningspraksiser; skogkultur; skogforvaltning basert på datavitenskap; trefysiologi og vekst.
  • Forskningsinteresser: skogens økosystemtjenester; klimatilpasning; bærekraftig skogforvaltning.

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Sammendrag

There is an increasing interest in using forests as a natural solution for enhancing terrestrial carbon dioxide removal, as part of climate smart forestry strategy to have a significant role in climate mitigation efforts. Harvest deferral is seen as one carbon farming practice to increase carbon sequestration in forests. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of harvest deferral on carbon forest sink potential of Norwegian forests in the short, medium and long-term. Here, we carried out scenario analysis for the whole Norway during the 21st century to assess the effect on carbon sequestration of delaying harvest in a certain number of forests. The scenarios represented different levels of harvest deferral through Norwegian forests. Delaying harvest would increase CO2 removals in the medium (2050) and long-term (2100), resulting in an additional uptake of approximately 6 and 34 Tg CO2, respectively, when extending rotation for 20 years in those plots with high growth increment in the last 5 years. Scenarios where harvest was delayed for a longer period showed slightly higher CO2 removals by the end of the century. While harvest deferral scenarios showed positive effects in terms of climate change mitigation potential, there are several other aspects that need to be considered, such as trade-offs and synergies with other sustainability goals, leakage, market behaviour and willingness of forest owners to get involved in these carbon farming practices.

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Sammendrag

Denne rapporten er utarbeidet på oppdrag for Miljødirektoratet og Landbruksdirektoratet. Formålet med arbeidet har vært å gi et oppdatert og helhetlig kunnskapsgrunnlag om hvordan tiltak i skogforvaltningen kan innrettes for å bidra til både økt opptak og redusert utslipp av klimagasser, samt opprettholde eller forbedre økologisk tilstand i skog. Rapporten sammenstiller eksisterende kunnskap, framskrivinger og ekspertvurderinger om hvordan tiltak kan innrettes for å oppnå best mulig effekt og redusere målkonflikter. Oppdraget har vært et samarbeid mellon Norsk institutt for bioøkonomi (NIBIO), Norsk institutt for naturforskning (NINA) og Norges miljø- og biovitenskapelige universitet (NMBU). Et utvidet sammendrag med de viktigste funn og konklusjoner er gjengitt som eget kapittel.

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Sammendrag

Integrated decision support systems are fundamental for addressing complex issues related to forest ecosystems and the land use sector, such as climate, biodiversity or disturbances, and their impact on industry and society. Therefore, it is important to develop and use tools that can better incorporate potential challenges to forest ecosystems, socio-economic trends and political choices, and show their consequences for multiple natural resources. SiTree is a flexible, cross-platform and open-source individual-tree simulator framework written in R. Simulations produced using SiTree are currently and actively being used to inform policy decisions and in research, from carbon uptake under different management options to the provision of different forest ecosystem services, such as timber production and biodiversity. An overview of the current state with practical examples where SiTree simulation tool is being used will be presented. Future possibilities and capabilities for the development of SiTree will be discussed, with a focus, among others, on better linking land use to social trends and policy-making, predicting large-scale disturbances in forests and estimating the provision of forest ecosystem services.