Publikasjoner
NIBIOs ansatte publiserer flere hundre vitenskapelige artikler og forskningsrapporter hvert år. Her finner du referanser og lenker til publikasjoner og andre forsknings- og formidlingsaktiviteter. Samlingen oppdateres løpende med både nytt og historisk materiale. For mer informasjon om NIBIOs publikasjoner, besøk NIBIOs bibliotek.
2010
Sammendrag
The model FROSTOL simulates course of frost tolerance in winter wheat on a daily basis from sowing on as affected by soil temperature (2 cm), snow cover, phenological development, and a genotypic maximum level of frost tolerance (LT 50). A series of cultivar trials in Finland was used to evaluate the model's ability to estimate plant survival in natural field environments during winters with differing weather conditions. Recorded survival was compared with number of intersections between the curves of simulated LT50 and the soil temperature curve for each field. A cumulative stress level (CSL) was calculated based both on number of intersections and FROSTOL simulated stress levels. The correlation between CSL and field recordings was quite low. While the field trials characterize a general ability to stand various types of winter stress, FROSTOL estimates damage caused by the soil temperature regime only. However, FROSTOL simulations seemed to correspond reasonably well to field observations when low temperature was the eventual cause of damage.
Sammendrag
Norwegian agriculture is mainly dominated by grass-based milk and livestock production, so winter damage to overwintering grasses may have large economic consequences. We assessed the impact of climate change on the winter survival of timothy (Phleum pratense L) and perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne L) under Norwegian conditions using agroclimatic indices and a simulation model of frost tolerance. This study was based on locally adjusted future climate scenarios (two for the period 2071-2100; one for the period 2020-2049) for six important agricultural regions, represented by one location each. We proposed and validated a rough way to estimate the daily minimum air temperatures from scenario data. compared with the control period 1961-1990, the future hardening period will be shortened by up to 21 days. As a consequence, the modelled maximum frost tolerance is expected to be reduced by up to 3.9 degrees C and 1.9 degrees C for timothy and perennial ryegrass, respectively, under the warmest scenario. In spite of this reduction, the plants are expected to be hardy enough to withstand the predicted autumn frosts, and we also expect a general reduction in the risk of winter frost injuries. The plant data available to this study suggest that agroclimatic indices developed for Canadian conditions can be useful for assessing the hardening status in timothy and perennial ryegrass. However, such indices are less suitable for assessing the risk of plant injury related to frost and ice encasement in Norway, since they do not account for the dynamics of cold adaptation. Although less snow is expected, in most cases this will not be accompanied by an increase in the risk of ice encasement injuries. However, a slight increase in the number of ice encasement events was predicted for one location. An earlier start of growth was predicted for all locations, accompanied at one coastal location by a slightly increased predicted risk of spring frosts. There is little risk of winter injuries related to frost and ice encasement in the hardier grass species timothy. The better overwintering conditions in general indicate that it will be possible to grow perennial ryegrass in areas where it is not grown today, provided the risk of fungal diseases does not increase. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Sammendrag
Timothy (Phleum pratense L) is the most important forage grass in Scandinavia and it is therefore highly interesting to study how it will perform in a changing climate. In order to model winter survival, the dynamics of hardening and dehardening must be simulated with satisfactory precision. We investigated an early timothy frost tolerance model (LT50 model), and an LT50 model for winter wheat. Based on the assumption that timothy has no vernalization requirement, unlike winter wheat, but does have the ability to adapt to cold temperatures in a process linked to stage of development, two alternative versions of the winter wheat model were also constructed. In total, these four candidate models were calibrated by a Bayesian approach for the timothy cultivar Engmo. The candidate models were validated using independent observations on LT50 in timothy at different locations reflecting differences in climate. A sensitivity analysis, using the Morris method, to identify important model parameters suggested that there is a connection between frost tolerance and stage of plant development, even if there is no vernalization requirement. The simplified winter wheat model was selected as the best candidate model for LT50 in timothy based on model selection criteria and its ability to capture the hardening and dehardening processes. The results from the Bayesian calibration suggest that there are no major regional differences in Norway calling for regional calibration. However, cultivar-specific calibration is probably required, since there are hardy and less hardy cultivars within the same species. A functional LT50 model would allow risk assessments to be made of future winter survival using specifically tailored and downscaled climate scenarios. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Sammendrag
Scenarios of climate changes indicate longer and more frequent spells of mild weather during winter in northern latitudes. De-hardening in perennial grasses could increase the risk of frost kill. In this study, the resistance to de-hardening of different grass species and cultivars was examined, and whether the resistance changes during winter or between years, was tested. In Experiment 1, two cultivars of timothy (Phleum pratense L.) and perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne L.) of contrasting winter hardiness were grown under ambient winter conditions, transferred from the field in January and April 2006 to the laboratory for 9 d with controlled de-hardening conditions of 3°C, 9°C and 15°C. The timothy cultivars were tested at 3°C, 6°C and 9°C in a similar experiment (Experiment 2) in January 2007. De-hardening, measured as decrease in frost tolerance (LT50), was less in timothy than in perennial ryegrass and increased with increasing temperatures. The northern winter-hardy cultivar Engmo of timothy de-hardened more rapidly than the less-hardy cultivar Grindstad, but had higher initial frost tolerance in both experiments, whereas there was less difference between cultivars of perennial ryegrass in Experiment 1. Cultivar Grindstad of timothy lost all hardiness in early spring at all temperatures, whereas cultivar Engmo maintained some hardiness at 3°C. Cultivar Engmo de-hardened at a lower rate in 2007 than in 2006, in spite of similar frost tolerance at the start of de-hardening treatment in both years. This indicates that the rate of de-hardening was controlled by factors additional to the initial frost tolerance and that autumn weather conditions might be important for the resistance to de-hardening.
2009
Sammendrag
Undersøkelser viser at det finnes mange forskjellige fjøskonsept som funger godt for kyr med horn. Det finnes altså ikke en løsning som utpeker seg til å være best. Det som har vist seg å være viktigst er dimensjoneringen og utformingen av selve fjøset, i tillegg til et bra management og et godt forhold mellom mennesker og dyr.
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Forfattere
Vibeke LindSammendrag
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Forfattere
Kristin DaugstadSammendrag
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