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Global environmental changes are causing Lyme disease to emerge in Europe. The life cycle of Ixodes ricinus, the tick vector of Lyme disease, involves an ontogenetic niche shift, from the larval and nymphal stages utilizing a wide range of hosts, picking up the pathogens causing Lyme disease from small vertebrates, to the adult stage depending on larger (non-transmission) hosts, typically deer. Because of this complexity the role of different host species for emergence of Lyme disease remains controversial. Here, by analysing long-term data on incidence in humans over a broad geographical scale in Norway, we show that both high spatial and temporal deer population density increase Lyme disease incidence. However, the trajectories of deer population sizes play an overall limited role for the recent emergence of the disease. Our study suggests that managing deer populations will have some effect on disease incidence, but that Lyme disease may nevertheless increase as multiple drivers are involved.

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The timing of migration is fundamental for species exploiting seasonally variable environments. For ungulates, earlier spring migration is expected with earlier vegetation green-up. However, other drivers, such as access to agricultural farmland and variation in local conditions, are also known to affect migration. We investigated the timing of spring migration for 96 male and 201 female red deer (Cervus elaphus) using a long-term dataset (2005–2020). Overall, the timing of migration was mainly characterized by large individual variability between and within years (95% range 6 April to 18 June). The spring migration timing was, as expected, later with colder winter and spring conditions (North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) winter and April indices) and later peak vegetation green-up (NDVI), with a five-day delay in green-up causing a migration delay of 1.2 days. Timing was also influenced by local conditions in summer and winter home ranges. Red deer with greater access to farmland and a more variable topography (hence variable plant phenology) in winter delayed migration. Similarly, individuals with higher-elevation summer ranges (with delayed onset of plant growth) also delayed migration. Our analyses highlight that the timing of red deer migration is determined by multiple drivers affecting foraging conditions in the landscape, indicative of considerable phenotypic plasticity.

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Large herbivores at northern latitudes often forage on agricultural farmland. In these populations, the presence of both resident and migrant individuals (termed partial migration) is common, but how migrants and residents differ in their selection of farmland is not well-understood. Higher access to farmland may provide benefits to residents compensating for not following the ‘green wave’ of emerging vegetation such as migrants. According to sexual segregation theory, males and females differ in body-size-related nutritional needs and risk sensitivity associated with farmland. Yet, how the sexes differ in the selection of farmland through an annual cycle remains unclear. We quantified seasonal variation in the selection of farmland by partially migratory red deer (Cervus elaphus) at broad, landscape scale and at fine, within-home range scale using 16 years of data (2005–2020) from 329 females and 115 males in Norway. We tested predictions related to the partial migration and sexual segregation theories using resource selection functions. We predicted higher selection for farmland by residents than by migrants, and higher selection by females than by males due to higher nutritional needs, but that higher perceived predation risk would impact their diurnal selection patterns. The time spent on farmland was higher in winter (14%–18%) than in summer (8%–14%). Residents selected farmland more than migrants mainly at broad, landscape scale, while differences were smaller and less consistent at a fine, within-home range scale. Females showed higher broad-scale selection for farmland in winter, whereas males showed higher selection in summer. At a fine, within-home range scale, females selected farmland more in summer during darkness, whereas sex differences were small otherwise. The fine-scale selection of farmland was markedly higher during low-light conditions than in daylight. A high population density index was correlated with high broad-scale selection of farmland, i.e. high farmland availability in the home ranges, whereas the effect of the density index was weak at a fine, within-home range scale. Our study emphasises how hypotheses deriving from the theories of partial migration and sexual segregation can improve our understanding of ungulates' selection of farmland. The higher selection by residents during summer highlights the importance of retaining landscape connectivity, allowing for migration and reducing pressure on local resources.