Publications
NIBIOs employees contribute to several hundred scientific articles and research reports every year. You can browse or search in our collection which contains references and links to these publications as well as other research and dissemination activities. The collection is continously updated with new and historical material.
2005
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Morten EikenesAbstract
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Øystein Johnsen Carl Gunnar Fossdal Nina Elisabeth Nagy Jørgen A.B. Mølmann OG Dæhlen Tore SkrøppaAbstract
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The spruce bark beetle is the most serious pest of mature spruce trees in Eurasia. At low population densities it breeds in weakened or newly dead trees, but at high densities it becomes a tree killer. The exact factors triggering outbreaks are not fully understood, but climatic variables are important candidates. Populations in SE Norway have been monitored since 1979. Various time series methods are used to explore the role of climate in outbreaks of the spruce bark beetle in space and time, and to estimate the distribution of bivoltism under different scenarios of climate change. Large windfall events appear to be a major synchronizer of beetle outbreaks in areas subjected to regionalized weather systems, and the northern border of bivoltism may be moved towards north as a function of increasing temperature. Preliminary models of the population dynamics emphasize the frequency of large windfall events and phenological changes due to temperature increase. Final aims are to estimate the regional risks of forest damage under different scenarios of climate change, and to describe practices that may reduce the impact for forest managers.
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Päivi Rinne Carl Gunnar Fossdal Sissel Torre Heather Danforth Aksel Granhus Gunnhild Søgaard John Einset Harald Kvaalen Øystein Johnsen Chris Van der SchootAbstract
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Paivi L.H. Rinne Carl Gunnar Fossdal Sissel Torre Heather Danforth Aksel Granhus Gunnhild Søgaard John Einset Harald Kvaalen Øystein Johnsen Christiaan van der SchootAbstract
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This study was conducted to explore organic and conventional dairy farmers' perceptions of risk and risk management, and to examine relationships between farm and farmer characteristics, risk perceptions, and strategies. The data originate from a survey of conventional (n=363) and organic (n=162) dairy farmers in Norway. Organic farmers had the least risk averse perceptions. Institutional and production risks were perceived as primary sources of risk, with farm support payments at the top. Compared to their conventional colleagues, organic farmers gave more weight to institutional factors related to their production systems. Conventional farmers were more concerned about costs of purchased inputs and animal welfare policy. Organic and conventional farmers' management responses were more similar than their risk perceptions. Financial measures such as liquidity and costs of production, disease prevention, and insurance were perceived as important ways to handle risk. Even though perceptions were highly farmer-specific, a number of socio-economic variables were found to be related to risk and risk management. The primary role of institutional risks implies that policy makers should be cautious about changing policy capriciously and they should consider the scope for strategic policy initiatives that give farmers some greater confidence about the longer term. Further, researchers should pay more attention to institutional risks. (c) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.