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Publications

NIBIOs employees contribute to several hundred scientific articles and research reports every year. You can browse or search in our collection which contains references and links to these publications as well as other research and dissemination activities. The collection is continously updated with new and historical material.

2024

To document

Abstract

Geographical distribution and diversity patterns of bird species are influenced by climate change. The Rouget's rail (Rougetius rougetii) is a ground-dwelling endemic bird species distributed in Ethiopia and Eritrea. It is a near-threatened species menaced by habitat loss, one of the main causes of population declines for bird species. The increasing effects of climate change may further threaten the species’ survival. So far, the spatial distribution of this species is not fully documented. With this study, we develop current potential suitable habitat and predict the future habitat shift of R. rougetii based on environmental data such as bioclimatic variables, population density, vegetation cover, and elevation using 10 algorithms. We evaluated the importance of environmental factors in shaping the bird's distribution and how it shifts under climate change scenarios. We used 182 records of R. rougetii from Ethiopia and nine bioclimatic, population density, vegetation cover, and elevation variables to run the 10 model algorithms. Among 10 algorithms, eight were selected for ensembling models according to their predictive abilities. The current suitable habitats for R. rougetii were predicted to cover an area of about 82,000 km2 despite being highly fragmented. The model suggested that temperature seasonality (bio4), elevation, and mean daily air temperatures of the driest quarter (bio9) contributed the most to delimiting suitable areas for this species. R. rougetii is sensitive to climate change associated with elevation, which leads shrinking distribution of suitable areas. The projected spatial and temporal pattern of habitat loss of R. rougetii suggests the importance of climate change mitigation and implementing long-term conservation and management strategies for this threatened endemic bird species.

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Abstract

Six seed mixtures differing in number of species and their proportion of timothy (Phleum pratense L.) were tested during three/four production (ley) years in replicated field experiments at three climatically different sites in Norway; one a mountainous inland site at 61° N (Løken) and two in coastal environments, at 61° N (Fureneset) and 65° N (Tjøtta). There were significant differences in forage accumulation (FA) and digestible forage accumulation (DFA) between the three sites. There was a significant FA decline from the third to the fourth ley year for mixtures containing timothy, but not for mixtures without timothy. Estimated interannual FA- stability was higher for timothy-based seed mixtures than for mixtures without timothy at the inland site, but FA-stability was lower at the coastal sites. In the third-year herbage of timothy-based mixtures at the inland site consisted almost solely of timothy, whereas at the coastal sites meadow fescue (Festuca pratensis Huds.) and especially tall fescue (F. arundinacea Schreb.) dominated. In seed mixtures without timothy, cocksfoot (Dactylis glomerata L.) suppressed other species at the inland site, whereas at the coastal sites, tall fescue and ryegrasses (Lolium spp.) were the dominant species in the third-year herbage. Length of growing season and site-specific growing conditions were important drivers for the observed species changes. Timothy can thus be recommended for ley establishment at sites where the growing season is short (<4 months) and plant growth is intensive, but under conditions with a longer growing season it needs to be sown in mixtures with grass species that surpass the regrowth capacity of timothy.