Visions and the consequences - analysing visions for Norwegian agriculture and its consequences for food security

First, we will run a process with agri-food actors and stakeholders to identify the existing agri-food narratives and the ideological and moral differences between each narrative. Further, we will recruit members into groups representing the existing narratives to define what we call the ‘ideal-types’ of the future agri-food systems. This will be done through a series of interdisciplinary workshops between the members of the groups and the involved researchers.

The defined agri-food system ‘ideal-types” will subsequently be translated into quantitative model inputs and analysed. The outcome is production quantity of various agri-food commodities, environmental and economic impacts, dietary impact, and degree of agri-food self-sufficiency. The model outputs will be evaluated with stakeholder involvement and iterated if necessary.

The final model outputs will then be used to assess the various “ideal-types” impact on domestic food security using multiple measures. The outcomes of the food-security and agri-food self-sufficiency assessments will be communicated and discussed with policymakers and agri-food actors. Our ambition is broad outreach and debate of outcomes, using different communication channels.